BEE Partner, South Africa Economy Watch

BEE Qualifying Contributions

Sector-specific contributions

The benefit-factor matrix refers to sector-specific contributions, which are not addressed elsewhere in Statements 700 or 807. There is a definition referring to sector-specific programmes. Although it is not clear whether there is a link between the definition and the reference to sector-specific contributions above, it would appear logical to assume so.

The origin of sector-specific contributions is from previous draft statements. The objective is that sector codes will determine sector- specific socio-economic development contributions as guidance to industry from each sector. Read the rest of this entry »

In the older economy, the monetary system did provide a constraint, and this constraint helped stabilize the economy; changes in the value of reserves worked in conjunction with the price mechanism. By contrast, the modern monetary system offers no constraint, and, in fact, inflations and asset price booms are self-financing, since price rises increase the value of collateral, on the one hand, and raise the value of bank capital on the other. The modern monetary system also allows for a creative use of the central government’s budget. The shift in money from real to nominal, following the changes in technology, has brought a new role for the government. The government budget is both much larger and plays a stabilizing role in the way it affects the economy. Read the rest of this entry »

Suppose, for example, that the GDP growth rate exceeds the interest rate by five percentage points. Then the steady-state deficit-to-GDP ratio will be 5 per cent of the debt-to-GDP ratio. If the debt-to-GDP ratio is at, for example, 60 per cent, then the primary deficit-to-GDP ratio can be permanently maintained at 3 per cent. Incidentally, these figures are the same as those stipulated in the European Union Maastricht Treaty as ‘convergence criteria’ for debt and deficit. Note that if the GDP growth rate exceeds the interest rate by five percentage points, then no less than one-fifth of the public sector in our ’small government‘ example, and one-tenth of the ‘big government‘ example, can be permanently financed by allowing the government debt to grow continuously. Taxpayers would be relieved accordingly. Read the rest of this entry »

A necessary practical condition is that the government share of GDP be limited, that is — in the case of European welfare states — be cut back. This need not involve any reductions of the volume and quality of services provided by the government sector. If aggregate supply is relatively elastic with respect to the level of taxation, then tax cuts may provide for a great expansion of the private sector. A vigorously growing private sector will tend to reduce the share of the public sector in the economy, a reduction that might render unnecessary any actual cutbacks of the real size of government. Read the rest of this entry »

ADDITIONAL ASPECTS OF PSE

One of the chief limitations of the PSE approach is that PSE subsidies may bemisdirected when used by state or local governments to pay employees already hired, or workers who would have been hired in the absence of the program. This kind of ‘fiscal substitution’ appears inherent in a PSE approach because it functions as a disguised form of revenue sharing.

A study prepared under the auspices of the National Planning Association estimated a fiscal substitution effect of 0.46 after one year. Subsequent studies produced conflicting results, but verified that the fiscal-substitution effect can be substantial (Bergman and Bennett, 1977). The greater the substitution of federal funds for state and local funds, the less effectively PSE will operate as an employment program. Read the rest of this entry »

The application of functional finance to the operation of the labor market in the form of the payment of wage subsidies to employers to encourage the hiring of disadvantaged workers is a means for altering the mix of employment in their favor while also improving the inflation/unemployment trade-off. One proposal, which related specifically to teenage workers, suggested giving all teenagers vouchers that can be used either for schooling or to subsidize employers who hire them (Feldstein, 1973). This proposal has not been translated into policy. However, under the now phased-out Concentrated Employment Program (CEP), employers were reimbursed for the costs of job training to encourage them to hire workers they would otherwise not consider. Reimbursement of training costs incurred by firms that locate plants in or near slum areas is provided for under the Jobs Opportunities in the Business Sector (JOBS) program. Read the rest of this entry »

In the face of wage—price pressures, the Job Guarantee approach maintains inflation control by choking aggregate demand and inducing slack in the non- buffer stock sector. As the slack does not reveal itself as unemployment, the Job Guarantee may be referred to as a ‘loose’ full employment. This leads to the definition of a new concept, the NAIBER, which, in the buffer stock economy, replaces the NAIRU/MRU as an inflation control mechanism. The BER is the ratio of buffer stock employment to total employment.

As the BER rises, due to an increase in interest rates and/or a fiscal tightening, resources are transferred from the inflating non-buffer stock sector into the buffer stock sector at the fixed buffer stock wage. Read the rest of this entry »

What would happen if the Job Guarantee were introduced to solve the problem of unemployment in this economy? For simplicity of argument, we assume the Job Guarantee wage is set at the bottom of the private sector wage structure although not low enough to enforce poverty on full-time workers. If there were poverty level wages being paid in Sector B, then there would be pressure on Sector B employers to restructure their jobs in order to maintain a workforce. The Job Guarantee wage sets a floor in the economy’s cost structure for given productivity levels. The dynamics of the economy change significantly. The elimination of all but wait unemployment in Sector A and frictional unemployment does not distort the relative wage structure so that the wage—wage pressures that were prominent in the upturn in the NAIRU economy are now reduced. But the rising demand softens the product market, and demand for labor rises in Sector A. The Job Guarantee introduces no new problems faced by employers who wish to hire labor to meet higher sales levels. They must pay the going rate, which is still preferable to appropriately skilled workers than the Job Guarantee wage level. The rising demand per se does not invoke inflationary pressures as firms increase capacity utilization to meet higher sales volumes. Read the rest of this entry »

In this section we focus on inflation control and show that the Job Guarantee, able to simultaneously generate full employment and price stability, is superior to the current NAIRU approach, which uses unemployment to maintain inflation control. Broadly, there are three options available to an economy that desires price stability. First, as in the NAIRU approach, it can use unemployment as a tool to suppress price pressures. Second, it can introduce a Job Guarantee and use movements in the Buffer Employment Ratio (BER) to control inflation. Third, it can introduce the Job Guarantee policy and augment it with an incomes policy. We do not consider this third option.

The Role of Unemployment in Inflation Control

The OECD experience of the 1990s shows that high and prolonged unemployment eventually results in low inflation (Mitchell, 1996). There are several observationally equivalent theoretical explanations for the inflation—unemployment trade-off. Read the rest of this entry »

The International Labour Office (1999) argues:

[A]ny strategy for full employment must be based on a sound macroeconomic framework. To achieve this, unsustainable current account imbalances, or foreign debt accumulation, must be reduced and low rates of inflation achieved. This requires the continuous adjustment of policies, a realistic exchange rate, fiscal discipline and wage moderation (wage increases in line with labor productivity). But in times of global deflation this is not necessarily sufficient as a guide to policy, and a boost to demand may be needed, perhaps going so far as to generate expectations of inflation, in addition to the accepted policy of balancing budgets over the business cycle as a whole (International Labour Office, 1999). Read the rest of this entry »